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‹ Wed · 20 May 2026
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Prognostic significance of early tumor shrinkage in metastatic renal cell carcinoma treated with first-line immune checkpoint inhibitor-based combination therapy

Early tumor shrinkage predicts longer survival in kidney cancer patients on immunotherapy, helping doctors decide whether to continue current treatments.

In 169 mRCC patients across multiple Japanese institutions, early tumor shrinkage at first imaging assessment was independently associated with overall survival in multivariate analysis across multiple ICI-based combination regimens. These findings suggest early tumor shrinkage could serve as a practical surrogate endpoint and prognostic indicator, providing actionable guidance on treatment continuity decisions.

What the study was

Study design
Retrospective multicenter cohort study
Population
169 mRCC patients treated with first-line ICI-based combination therapy (nivolumab+ipilimumab, pembrolizumab+axitinib, pembrolizumab+lenvatinib, nivolumab+cabozantinib)
Sample size
169
Category
Treatment Innovation
Maturity
Validated
Journal
Int J Clin Oncol

Why it surfaced

Multicenter Japanese cohort providing real-world evidence that early tumor shrinkage predicts OS in mRCC ICI therapy. Retrospective; finding while clinically useful is incremental.

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